Construction Forecast Bulletin GB 2026-2030 Edition
The Construction Forecast Bulletin provides a review of construction output across all major sectors from 2021 to 2025 and forecasts for 2026 through to 2030, based on analysis of sector trends, orders, spending commitments and government and industry priorities as they appear at this time.
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The Construction Forecast Bulletin provides a review of construction output across all major sectors from 2021 to 2025 and forecasts for 2026 through to 2030, based on analysis of sector trends, orders, spending commitments and government and industry priorities as they appear at this time.
The Bulletin includes analysis of planning applications, approvals and awards from the Barbour ABI platform, providing insight into how the different construction sectors are likely to perform going forward.
Construction activity has shown moderate growth of 3% in 2025. However, the outlook for 2026 is more cautious, with a projected decline of 2%. This downturn is attributed to ongoing sector challenges and the impact of the Middle East conflict on the UK economy and build costs. Key challenges include issues related to affordability, site viability, ongoing planning delays, elevated construction costs, regulatory burdens, and skills shortages.
On a positive note, certain areas of the construction market are demonstrating resilience, including infrastructure (particularly electricity, water and sewerage) and public non-residential projects, with confirmed funding (such as those in health and education.
Construction activity is expected to accelerate from 2028 onwards, though the sector’s recovery is dependent on macroeconomic stability and the effective implementation of government reforms.
- Executive summary
Economy and construction industry overview
- Marco economic overview
- Quarterly construction output to date, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Quarterly construction new orders to date, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Total annual construction output and forecast, 2019 – 2030
- Annual construction output and forecast – new build and RMI, 2020 – 2030
- Construction output by sector, 2024 – 2025
Sector analysis: Residential
- Residential sector overview
- Quarterly Residential Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Residential New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Residential New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
Sector Analysis: Infrastructure
- Infrastructure Sector Overview
- Infrastructure Construction Output by Sector, 2024-2025
- Quarterly Infrastructure Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Infrastructure Output and Forecast by sector, 2025 – 2030
- Infrastructure New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Infrastructure New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
Sector Analysis: Non-Residential
- Non-Residential New Work Construction Output by Sector, 2024-2025
- Quarterly Commercial, Education, Health and Other Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Education Sector Overview
- Quarterly Education Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Education Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Education New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Education New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
- Health Sector Overview
- Quarterly Health Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Health Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Health New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Health New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
- Office Sector Overview
- Quarterly Office Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Office Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Office New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Office New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
- Retail Sector Overview
- Quarterly Retail Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Retail Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Retail New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Retail New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
- Entertainment & Leisure Sector Overview
- Quarterly Entertainment & Leisure Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Entertainment & Leisure Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Entertainment & Leisure New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Entertainment New Build Pipeline (Planning Applications, Approvals and Contract Awards)
- Industrial Sector Overview
- Quarterly Industrial Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Industrial Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Industrial New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
- Agriculture & Miscellaneous Sector Overview
- Quarterly Agriculture & Miscellaneous Sector Output, Q1 2023 – Q1 2026
- Annual Agriculture & Miscellaneous Performance 2021 to 2025 with Forecasts to 2030
- Agriculture & Miscellaneous New Orders, Q1 2025 – Q1 2026
Regional Analysis
- All Work Output by Value, 2021-2025
- New Work, Residential & Infrastructure Output by Value, 2021-2025
Regional Overviews
- London
- South East
- North West
- East of England
- Scotland
- South West
- West Midlands
- East Midlands
- Yorkshire & the Humber
- North East
- Wales
Why the 2026 Construction Forecast Bulletin is essential to your business
The Construction Forecast Bulletin is an essential investment for professionals in the construction industry who need to stay ahead of an evolved market. This comprehensive report provides critical insights into upcoming trends, market forecasts, and sector-specific growth opportunities, helping businesses make informed strategic decisions.
With data-driven analysis on factors such as economic conditions, regulatory changes, and emerging technologies, the bulletin enables construction firms, suppliers, and investors to mitigate risks and capitalise on new opportunities.
In an industry where accurate forecasting is key to staying competitive, this report is an invaluable resource for ensuring resilience and profitability in 2026 and beyond.
The bulletin contains over 140 charts and tables.
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Construction Forecast Bulletin GB 2026-2030 Edition
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Our reports go deeper to give you the insights needed to make your next strategic move.
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- Market prospects up to 4 years – market value, opportunities, impact of socioeconomic events and regulatory developments.
- Detailed information – market size, influences, market factors and key players.
- Analysis by product group – market size, product mix, sector trends etc.
