Gas and Electricity Construction Market Report UK 2025-2029 - Barbour ABI Store

Gas and Electricity Construction Market Report UK 2025-2029

The Gas and Electricity Construction Market Report UK 2025-2029 includes topics such as trends influencing the market, market size and analysis, forecast, and key players operating in the UK.

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Market Summary

The UK gas and electricity construction market is experiencing substantial growth, fuelled by a commitment to decarbonisation and energy security. In the first half of 2025, electricity accounted for 42% of infrastructure output, amounting to £7.4bn.

 

The electricity sector is expected to remain a key driver of infrastructure construction over the coming years, driven by the government’s decarbonisation agenda and the need to strengthen and expand the electricity grid to meet increasing demand and accommodate new renewables capacity. We anticipate sustained double-digit annual growth in this sector over the next few years.

 

Report Overview

Growth in Renewables Generation: In 2024, renewables produced over half of the UK’s electricity demand for the first time, accounting for 50.8% of generation.

 

Infrastructure Pipeline: The UK government launched a new Infrastructure Pipeline in July 2025, worth around £530 billion over the next 10 years, with energy projects accounting for 37% of planned investment.

 

Decarbonisation Goals: The government aims to achieve at least 95% of Great Britain’s electricity generation from low-carbon sources by 2030, with significant targets for offshore wind (43-50 GW) and solar PV (45-47 GW).

 

The Great Grid Upgrade: launched by National Grid in 2023, is set to be the most significant overhaul of the UK electricity network in generations. This initiative includes 17 major infrastructure projects across England and Wales, aimed at extending the high-voltage power grid. The upgrade will involve the construction of new overhead lines, pylons, substations, and subsea cables.

 

Onshore and Offshore Wind: The report outlines a significant increase in both onshore and offshore wind capacity, with growth supported by favourable government policies and reforms to the planning system, the grid connections process and the CfD scheme.

 

Solar PV Expansion: The UK solar market is anticipated to experience substantial growth, with the government aiming to triple solar capacity by 2030. However, in the short term, challenges such as long wait times for planning approvals and grid connection bottlenecks may hinder the expansion of solar PV capacity.

 

Gas-Fired Power Role: While the overall share of gas in electricity generation is declining as renewables expand, gas-fired plants are expected to remain crucial for balancing the grid and ensuring energy security during the energy transition.

 

Nuclear Power: The UK government aims to grow nuclear energy capacity to 24 GW by 2050, up from 6GW in 2025, with a mix of traditional large-scale power plants and small modular reactors (SMRs).

 

Technological Advances: The report emphasises the role of technologies, including energy storage solutions, smart grid technologies and carbon capture and storage (CCS), in supporting the transition to a low-carbon energy system.

 

Market Size 

The electricity sector accounted for over a third (37%) of total infrastructure construction output in 2024, representing £12.5bn. In contrast, the gas construction market is substantially smaller, with the ONS estimating its output at £58m in 2024.

 

Market Analysis

In 2024, energy industries contributed 2.4% to the economy, with investments reaching £23.6bn, primarily in electricity. The market is shifting towards renewable sources, with ambitious targets for offshore and onshore wind, solar, as well as nuclear energy. However, challenges such as rising project costs, regulatory hurdles, and infrastructure bottlenecks persist. Government reforms, including more streamlined planning processes and reforms to funding mechanisms, aim to accelerate project delivery and enhance energy security.

 

Forecast

The electricity sector is expected to remain a key driver of infrastructure construction over the coming years, supported by the government’s decarbonisation agenda and the need to strengthen and expand the electricity grid to meet increasing demand. We forecast annual growth rates of 16% to 20% (at 2025 prices) for 2026-29.

 

Key Companies Mentioned in the Report

Major operators in the UK electricity generation sector include:

  • EDF
  • RWE
  • SSE
  • Drax
  • Uniper
  • Orsted
  • Centrica
  • Vitol
  • Scottish Power
  • EPH

 

Market Trends and Influences

Market influences include political commitments to net-zero emissions, economic incentives like Contracts for Difference (CfDs), and technological advancements in energy storage, CCS and smart grid solutions.

Electricity demand is expected to double by 2050, driven by the electrification of transport and heat. Substantial, ongoing investment in energy infrastructure is crucial to manage this transformation and meet net-zero targets.

The Labour government’s commitment to investing in clean energy infrastructure is giving investors much-needed certainty. However, recent political developments have introduced uncertainty regarding this commitment if the Conservative Party or Reform UK were to form the next government.

 

Sector Analysis

This report focuses on gas and electricity construction. It also analyses the energy system, covering the following key technologies: wind (onshore and offshore), solar PV, nuclear power, gas-fired power, hydro power, bioenergy, battery storage, as well as the transmission and distribution networks.

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Context
  • 1.2 Definition
  • 1.3 Abbreviations

2 MARKET SUMMARY

  • 2.1 Market size
  • 2.2 Market overview
    • 2.2.1 Market structure
    • 2.2.2 Supply
    • 2.2.3 Demand: gas and electricity consumption

3 MARKET INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS

  • 3.1 Main market influences and drivers
  • 3.2 Political influences and drivers
    • 3.2.1 Government policies to address the “energy trilemma”
    • 3.2.2 Carbon budgets and the Net Zero target
    • 3.2.3 Government net zero policy developments
    • 3.2.4 Clean Power 2030 Action Plan
    • 3.2.5 Clean Energy Industries Sector Plan
    • 3.2.6 Move to low-carbon heating
  • 3.3 Economic influences and drivers
    • 3.3.1 Contracts for Difference (CfDs)
    • 3.3.2 Energy prices
    • 3.3.3 Growing cost-competitiveness of renewables
    • 3.3.4 Higher project costs threaten to derail some offshore wind projects
  • 3.4 Social influences and drivers
    • 3.4.1 UK housing stock and population projections
    • 3.4.2 Smart meter adoption
    • 3.4.3 Household energy efficiency improvements
    • 3.4.4 Heat pump adoption expected to accelerate
    • 3.4.5 Consumer interest in solar PV
    • 3.4.6 Adoption of electric vehicles
  • 3.5 Technological influences and drivers
    • 3.5.1 Growing energy demand from data centres
    • 3.5.2 Smart Grid technology
    • 3.5.3 Energy Storage Solutions to manage intermittent renewable energy sources
    • 3.5.4 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
    • 3.5.5 Nuclear – development of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)
    • 3.5.6 Hydrogen technology
    • 3.5.7 Emerging technologies
  • 3.6 Legal/Regulatory influences and drivers
    • 3.6.1 Industry regulation
    • 3.6.2 Planning and Infrastructure Bill
  • 3.7 Environmental influences and drivers
    • 3.7.1 Climate change
    • 3.7.2 UK’s progress towards reducing greenhouse gases
    • 3.7.3 The UK has some of the best offshore wind resources in Europe
    • 3.7.4 The UK’s depleting natural gas reserves

4 GAS AND ELECTRICITY CONSTRUCTION MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Construction output in the electricity sector
  • 4.2 Construction output in the gas sector

5 OFFSHORE AND ONSHORE WIND CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 5.1 Overview
    • 5.1.1 Onshore wind
    • 5.1.2 Offshore wind
  • 5.2 Project pipeline
    • 5.2.1 Onshore wind
    • 5.2.2 Offshore wind

6 SOLAR PV CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 6.1 Overview
  • 6.2 Project pipeline

7 NUCLEAR POWER CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 7.1 Overview
  • 7.2 Project pipeline

8 GAS-FIRED POWER CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 8.1 Overview
  • 8.2 Project pipeline

9 HYDRO POWER CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 9.1 Overview
  • 9.2 Project pipeline

10 BIOENERGY CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 10.1 Overview
  • 10.2 Biomass
  • 10.3 Energy from Waste
  • 10.4 Project pipeline

11 TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 11.1 Overview
    • 11.1.1 Electricity
    • 11.1.2 Gas
  • 11.2 Project pipeline
    • 11.2.1 Electricity transmission
    • 11.2.2 Gas transmission and distribution

12 BATTERY ENERGY STORAGE CONSTRUCTION MARKET

  • 12.1 Overview
  • 12.2 Installed capacity
  • 12.3 Project pipeline

Figure 1: UK energy infrastructure pipeline, planned investment for next five years by sector, 2025 (£bn and % of total)

 

Figure 2: Wholesale electricity generation market shares by company in GB, 2024

 

Figure 3: Proportional importance of fuel source in UK electricity generation, 2020-2024

 

Figure 4: UK natural gas supply, 2020-2024

 

Figure 5: UK total gas demand, 2010-2024

 

Figure 6: Share of natural gas demand split by sector, 2024

 

Figure 7: UK total electricity demand, 2010-2024

 

Figure 8: Share of electricity demand split by sector, 2024

 

Figure 9: PESTLE analysis summary table, 2025

 

Figure 10: Possible electricity generation capacity ranges for 2030, Great Britain

 

Figure 11: Capacity of projects awarded CfDs, by allocation round and technology (MW)

 

Figure 12: Gas prices, forward delivery contracts, weekly average, 2021-2025

 

Figure 13: Electricity prices, forward delivery contracts, weekly average, 2021-2025

 

Figure 14: Dwelling stock in Great Britain, 2021-2023

 

Figure 15: UK population projections, 2022-2050

 

Figure 16: Energy efficiency banding of dwellings in England, 2013-2023

 

Figure 17: Heat pump sales by volume, 2020–2024

 

Figure 18: UK market for residential heat pumps by value, 2020–2029 (£m at MSP)

 

Figure 19: UK residential solar PV cumulative installed capacity, January 2010–June 2025 (MW)

 

Figure 20: UK market for data centre construction by value (£bn) 2020–2029

 

Figure 21: Installed capacity ranges for electricity storage for net zero pathways in FES 2025, 2024-25 (GW)

 

Figure 22: GB CCS infrastructure projects/programmes in the pipeline, as of July 2025

 

Figure 23: GB construction output in the electricity sector, 2020-29 (£m)

 

Figure 24: Installed generation capacity ranges for net zero pathways, 2024-2059 (GW)

 

Figure 25: GB construction output in the gas sector, 2020-29 (£m)

 

Figure 26: UK wind generation cumulative installed capacity, 2015-2025 (MW)

 

Figure 27: Onshore wind installed capacity, by region, 2024

 

Figure 28: Top 20 largest onshore wind farms operational in the UK, 2025

 

Figure 29: Installed offshore wind capacity, by region, 2024

 

Figure 30: UK operational and under construction offshore wind farm ownership, as at 31 December 2024

 

Figure 31: Scotwind and INTOG projects overview, 2025

 

Figure 32: Onshore wind projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, July 2025

 

Figure 33: Key projects in the onshore wind pipeline, July 2025

 

Figure 34: Offshore wind projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, July 2025

 

Figure 35: Key projects in the offshore wind pipeline, July 2025

 

Figure 36: UK solar PV cumulative installed capacity, 2015-2025

 

Figure 37: Solar PV installed capacity, by region, 2024

 

Figure 38: Ground-mounted solar PV projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 39: Key projects in the ground-mounted solar PV pipeline, August 2025

 

Figure 40: Rooftop solar PV projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 41: Key projects in the rooftop solar PV pipeline, August 2025

 

Figure 42: Location of solar PV projects currently awaiting construction, as of July 2025

 

Figure 43: UK nuclear power cumulative installed capacity, 2016-2024

 

Figure 44: UK nuclear plants’ planned closure dates, as of July 2025

 

Figure 45: GB nuclear electricity generation infrastructure projects/programmes in the pipeline, as of July 2025

 

Figure 46: UK gas-fired power cumulative installed capacity, 2016-2024

 

Figure 47: UK hydro cumulative installed capacity, 2015-2025

 

Figure 48: Hydroelectric power projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 49: Key projects in the hydroelectric power pipeline, August 2025

 

Figure 50: UK bioenergy cumulative installed capacity, 2015-2025

 

Figure 51: Biomass installed capacity, by region, 2024

 

Figure 52: Biomass (dedicated) projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 53: Other bioenergy projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 54: Great Grid Upgrade projects overview, 2025

 

Figure 55: National Infrastructure Commission recommendations to create electricity distribution networks capacity for the future, 2025

 

Figure 56: Capital expenditure by the electricity transmission network operators in GB, 2020/21-2023/24

 

Figure 57: Capital expenditure by the electricity distribution network operators in GB, 2020/21-2024/25

 

Figure 58: Gas transmission network capital expenditure in GB, 2020/21-2024/25

 

Figure 59: Gas distribution network capital expenditure in GB, 2021/22-2025/26

 

Figure 60: GB electricity transmission infrastructure projects/programmes in the pipeline, as of July 2025

 

Figure 61: GB Electricity Transmission forecast construction expenditure profile, 2025/26-2034/35

 

Figure 62: UK gas transmission infrastructure projects/programmes in the pipeline, as of July 2025

 

Figure 63: UK gas distribution infrastructure projects/programmes in the pipeline, as of July 2025

 

Figure 64: Battery storage projects pipeline, number of projects and capacity, August 2025

 

Figure 65: Key projects in the battery storage pipeline, August 2025

 

Figure 66: Location of BESS projects awaiting construction, July 2025

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